Ascot Resources Ltd.

OTCPK:AOTV.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$125.8m

Ascot Resources Valuation

Is AOTV.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AOTV.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$1.34
Fair Value
90.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: AOTV.F ($0.13) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AOTV.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AOTV.F?

Key metric: As AOTV.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AOTV.F. This is calculated by dividing AOTV.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AOTV.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio12.9x
SalesCA$14.41m
Market CapCA$181.53m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AOTV.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AOTV.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
GROY Gold Royalty
27.3x28.7%US$209.9m
CMCL Caledonia Mining
1.1x5.4%US$174.9m
FTCO Fortitude Gold
3.1xn/aUS$123.7m
MUX McEwen Mining
2.2x18.4%US$441.4m
AOTV.F Ascot Resources
12.9x80.5%US$181.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AOTV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AOTV.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Metals and Mining Industry?

32 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
X United States Steel
0.5x2.5%US$7.38b
TX Ternium
0.3x2.8%US$5.69b
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs
0.2x4.8%US$4.82b
ARNC Arconic
0.4x5.8%US$3.01b
AOTV.F 12.9xIndustry Avg. 1.2xNo. of Companies32PS0246810+
32 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AOTV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.9x) compared to the US Metals and Mining industry average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AOTV.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AOTV.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.9x
Fair PS Ratio12.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AOTV.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AOTV.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.13
US$0.36
+176.2%
53.2%US$0.56US$0.11n/a4
Jan ’26US$0.13
US$0.36
+172.5%
53.2%US$0.56US$0.11n/a4
Dec ’25US$0.16
US$0.37
+124.3%
53.2%US$0.57US$0.11n/a4
Oct ’25US$0.13
US$0.49
+289.1%
77.8%US$0.93US$0.11n/a4
Sep ’25US$0.39
US$0.75
+91.3%
17.8%US$0.91US$0.55n/a4
Aug ’25US$0.31
US$0.68
+118.8%
25.0%US$0.90US$0.43n/a5
Jul ’25US$0.40
US$0.74
+84.0%
15.1%US$0.91US$0.62n/a5
Jun ’25US$0.57
US$0.70
+22.3%
10.1%US$0.80US$0.62n/a5
May ’25US$0.52
US$0.72
+36.8%
8.3%US$0.81US$0.62n/a5
Apr ’25US$0.56
US$0.68
+20.8%
5.5%US$0.74US$0.63n/a5
Mar ’25US$0.44
US$0.68
+56.4%
5.5%US$0.74US$0.63n/a5
Feb ’25US$0.47
US$0.64
+37.5%
2.7%US$0.67US$0.63n/a3
Jan ’25US$0.37
US$0.70
+90.8%
10.3%US$0.82US$0.64US$0.135
Dec ’24US$0.39
US$0.69
+79.1%
9.4%US$0.80US$0.62US$0.165
Nov ’24US$0.27
US$0.75
+176.0%
14.1%US$0.92US$0.66US$0.185
Oct ’24US$0.28
US$0.75
+169.7%
14.1%US$0.92US$0.66US$0.135
Sep ’24US$0.37
US$0.75
+101.6%
14.1%US$0.92US$0.66US$0.395
Aug ’24US$0.42
US$0.78
+86.2%
12.5%US$0.95US$0.68US$0.315
Jul ’24US$0.40
US$0.77
+96.1%
14.7%US$0.93US$0.67US$0.405
Jun ’24US$0.45
US$0.76
+68.8%
17.1%US$0.94US$0.60US$0.575
May ’24US$0.45
US$0.76
+69.8%
17.1%US$0.94US$0.60US$0.525
Apr ’24US$0.51
US$0.76
+47.8%
17.8%US$0.94US$0.60US$0.565
Mar ’24US$0.48
US$0.76
+56.3%
17.8%US$0.94US$0.60US$0.445
Feb ’24US$0.55
US$0.70
+27.2%
18.9%US$0.93US$0.56US$0.475
Jan ’24US$0.38
US$0.69
+82.4%
18.2%US$0.92US$0.55US$0.376
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 4 Analysts
US$0.35
Fair Value
62.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
4
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 00:56
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ascot Resources Ltd. is covered by 11 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian QuastBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Anita SoniCIBC Capital Markets
Allison CarsonDesjardins Securities Inc.