Stock Analysis
Trinseo PLC (NYSE:TSE) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.01 per share on the 24th of October. This means the annual payment will be 0.8% of the current stock price, which is lower than the industry average.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Trinseo's stock price has increased by 148% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
View our latest analysis for Trinseo
Trinseo Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Even in the absence of profits, Trinseo is paying a dividend. Along with this, it is also not generating free cash flows, which raises concerns about the sustainability of the dividend.
Over the next year, EPS might fall by 61.6% based on recent performance. This will push the company into unprofitability, which means the managers will have to choose between suspending the dividend, or paying it out of cash reserves.
Trinseo's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that Trinseo has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This suggests that the dividend might not be the most reliable. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from $1.20 total annually to $0.04. The dividend has fallen 97% over that period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.
The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential
Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Trinseo's EPS has fallen by approximately 62% per year during the past five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in.
Trinseo's Dividend Doesn't Look Great
In summary, while it is good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we think that at current levels the payment isn't particularly sustainable. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. Overall, the dividend is not reliable enough to make this a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 4 warning signs for Trinseo that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:TSE
Trinseo
Operates as a specialty material solutions provider in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.