Tronox Holdings Valuation

Is TROX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TROX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TROX ($19.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($33.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TROX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TROX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TROX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.7x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TROX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TROX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
KRO Kronos Worldwide
0.9x10.5%US$1.6b
OLN Olin
0.9x7.3%US$6.2b
CBT Cabot
1.4x4.7%US$5.5b
HWKN Hawkins
1.9x8.1%US$1.8b
TROX Tronox Holdings
1.1x7.0%US$3.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TROX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TROX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TROX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TROX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TROX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TROX is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TROX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$19.63
US$20.50
+4.4%
17.6%US$25.00US$14.00n/a8
May ’25US$17.09
US$18.25
+6.8%
16.8%US$25.00US$14.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$17.24
US$17.38
+0.8%
15.2%US$22.00US$14.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$14.98
US$16.63
+11.0%
10.8%US$19.00US$14.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$14.21
US$15.38
+8.2%
14.9%US$19.00US$11.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$14.16
US$15.25
+7.7%
17.3%US$20.00US$11.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$13.36
US$14.00
+4.8%
20.8%US$20.00US$11.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$10.47
US$14.00
+33.7%
20.8%US$20.00US$11.00n/a8
Oct ’24US$13.44
US$16.22
+20.7%
10.8%US$20.00US$13.00n/a9
Sep ’24US$14.00
US$16.10
+15.0%
11.9%US$20.00US$13.00n/a10
Aug ’24US$13.51
US$16.00
+18.4%
13.1%US$20.00US$12.00n/a10
Jul ’24US$12.71
US$16.40
+29.0%
16.2%US$20.00US$10.00n/a10
Jun ’24US$10.98
US$16.80
+53.0%
15.7%US$20.00US$10.00US$19.8110
May ’24US$13.54
US$16.67
+23.1%
15.5%US$19.00US$10.00US$17.099
Apr ’24US$14.38
US$17.90
+24.5%
22.0%US$27.00US$10.00US$17.2410
Mar ’24US$15.76
US$17.90
+13.6%
22.0%US$27.00US$10.00US$14.9810
Feb ’24US$17.35
US$17.30
-0.3%
23.4%US$27.00US$10.00US$14.2110
Jan ’24US$13.71
US$16.90
+23.3%
23.4%US$27.00US$10.00US$14.1610
Dec ’23US$14.37
US$16.50
+14.8%
24.6%US$27.00US$10.00US$13.3610
Nov ’23US$12.03
US$16.50
+37.2%
24.6%US$27.00US$10.00US$10.4710
Oct ’23US$12.25
US$22.13
+80.6%
23.6%US$30.00US$15.00US$13.448
Sep ’23US$14.48
US$24.13
+66.6%
13.5%US$30.00US$20.00US$14.008
Aug ’23US$15.62
US$24.13
+54.4%
13.5%US$30.00US$20.00US$13.518
Jul ’23US$16.66
US$26.25
+57.6%
12.9%US$31.00US$20.00US$12.718
Jun ’23US$18.62
US$26.75
+43.7%
10.2%US$31.00US$22.00US$10.988

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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