Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Hims & Hers Health, Inc.'s (NYSE:HIMS) 44% Share Price Surge

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NYSE:HIMS

Despite an already strong run, Hims & Hers Health, Inc. (NYSE:HIMS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 44% in the last thirty days. The last month tops off a massive increase of 279% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Hims & Hers Health as a stock not worth researching with its 5.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Hims & Hers Health

NYSE:HIMS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 26th 2024

How Hims & Hers Health Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Hims & Hers Health as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Hims & Hers Health's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hims & Hers Health's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 57% gain to the company's top line. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 31% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.1% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hims & Hers Health's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Hims & Hers Health's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Hims & Hers Health maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Healthcare industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Hims & Hers Health (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hims & Hers Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.