Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For Biodesix, Inc. (NASDAQ:BDSX) Even After Diving 27%

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NasdaqGM:BDSX

Biodesix, Inc. (NASDAQ:BDSX) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may still consider Biodesix as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Biodesix

NasdaqGM:BDSX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2025

How Has Biodesix Performed Recently?

Biodesix certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Biodesix will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Biodesix's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 12% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 26% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.4% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Biodesix's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Biodesix's P/S

Despite the recent share price weakness, Biodesix's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Biodesix's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Biodesix (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Biodesix might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.