Stock Analysis
Flowers Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:FLO) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.24 per share on 13th of December. This makes the dividend yield 4.5%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Flowers Foods
Flowers Foods' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
If the payments aren't sustainable, a high yield for a few years won't matter that much. Prior to this announcement, Flowers Foods was paying out 82% of earnings and more than 75% of free cash flows. This indicates that the company is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business, but we don't think that there are necessarily signs that the dividend might be unsustainable.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 21.7%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 73% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
Flowers Foods Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.45 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.96. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 7.9% per annum over that time. The growth of the dividend has been pretty reliable, so we think this can offer investors some nice additional income in their portfolio.
Flowers Foods Could Grow Its Dividend
Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. It's encouraging to see that Flowers Foods has been growing its earnings per share at 5.7% a year over the past five years. The payout ratio is very much on the higher end, which could mean that the growth rate will slow down in the future, and that could flow through to the dividend as well.
In Summary
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Flowers Foods' payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. We don't think Flowers Foods is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Flowers Foods that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:FLO
Flowers Foods
Produces and markets packaged bakery food products in the United States.