Stock Analysis

Flowers Foods' (NYSE:FLO) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Published
NYSE:FLO

The market for Flowers Foods, Inc.'s (NYSE:FLO) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

See our latest analysis for Flowers Foods

NYSE:FLO Earnings and Revenue History February 15th 2024

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

To properly understand Flowers Foods' profit results, we need to consider the US$177m expense attributed to unusual items. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Flowers Foods took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to December 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Flowers Foods' Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant unusual expense will make Flowers Foods' statutory profit lower than it would otherwise have been. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Flowers Foods' statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. You'd be interested to know, that we found 4 warning signs for Flowers Foods and you'll want to know about these.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Flowers Foods' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.