Stock Analysis

Mondelez International, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDLZ) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Published
NasdaqGS:MDLZ

Mondelez International, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MDLZ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.1x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 17x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Mondelez International has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Mondelez International

NasdaqGS:MDLZ Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 16th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Mondelez International's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Mondelez International's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Mondelez International's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.9%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 21% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.4% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Mondelez International is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Mondelez International's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Mondelez International that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.