Stock Analysis
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It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE:AMPY)
Amplify Energy Corp.'s (NYSE:AMPY) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.8x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Amplify Energy
What Does Amplify Energy's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been pleasing for Amplify Energy as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think the company's revenue is going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Amplify Energy.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
Amplify Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 9.1%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Amplify Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Bottom Line On Amplify Energy's P/S
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
A look at Amplify Energy's revenues reveals that, despite glowing future growth forecasts, its P/S is much lower than we'd expect. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Amplify Energy you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Amplify Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AMPY
Amplify Energy
Engages in the acquisition, development, exploitation, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the United States.