Antero Midstream Corporation's (NYSE:AM) investors are due to receive a payment of $0.225 per share on 9th of August. This makes the dividend yield 7.7%, which will augment investor returns quite nicely.
View our latest analysis for Antero Midstream
Antero Midstream Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 41.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 111%, which probably can't continue without putting some pressure on the balance sheet.
Antero Midstream's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
It's comforting to see that Antero Midstream has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2017, the dividend has gone from $0.186 total annually to $0.90. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 30% per annum over that time. Antero Midstream has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Antero Midstream Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Antero Midstream has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 47% per annum. Strong earnings is nice to see, but unless this can be sustained on minimal reinvestment of profits, we would question whether dividends will follow suit.
Antero Midstream's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Antero Midstream has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AM
Antero Midstream
Owns, operates, and develops midstream energy assets in the Appalachian Basin.
Proven track record and fair value.