Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That PDC Energy (NASDAQ:PDCE) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NasdaqGS:PDCE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that PDC Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for PDC Energy

How Much Debt Does PDC Energy Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 PDC Energy had US$1.31b of debt, an increase on US$942.1m, over one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

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NasdaqGS:PDCE Debt to Equity History March 31st 2023

How Strong Is PDC Energy's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, PDC Energy had liabilities of US$1.42b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.58b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$6.49m in cash and US$546.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.45b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$5.57b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on PDC Energy's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

PDC Energy has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.44. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 34.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Better yet, PDC Energy grew its EBIT by 240% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PDC Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, PDC Energy recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Happily, PDC Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Zooming out, PDC Energy seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with PDC Energy (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.