Stock Analysis

Here's Why PDC Energy (NASDAQ:PDCE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NasdaqGS:PDCE
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that PDC Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:PDCE) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for PDC Energy

What Is PDC Energy's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that PDC Energy had US$942.6m of debt in March 2022, down from US$1.44b, one year before. On the flip side, it has US$171.2m in cash leading to net debt of about US$771.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PDCE Debt to Equity History July 8th 2022

How Strong Is PDC Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that PDC Energy had liabilities of US$1.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.69b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$171.2m as well as receivables valued at US$537.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.26b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because PDC Energy is worth US$5.78b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

PDC Energy has net debt of just 0.61 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 8.7 times, which is more than adequate. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, PDC Energy turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$604m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PDC Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, PDC Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that PDC Energy's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that PDC Energy can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for PDC Energy that you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.