Stock Analysis

Golar LNG Limited's (NASDAQ:GLNG) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

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NasdaqGS:GLNG

Golar LNG (NASDAQ:GLNG) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 38% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Golar LNG's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Golar LNG

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Golar LNG is:

1.3% = US$35m ÷ US$2.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Golar LNG's Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Golar LNG's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Golar LNG grew its net income at a significant rate of 44% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then performed a comparison between Golar LNG's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 41% in the same 5-year period.

NasdaqGS:GLNG Past Earnings Growth December 12th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Golar LNG fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Golar LNG Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Golar LNG has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 75%, meaning the company only retains 25% of its income. This implies that the company has been able to achieve high earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Moreover, Golar LNG is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 98% over the next three years. However, Golar LNG's future ROE is expected to rise to 7.9% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Golar LNG has some positive attributes. That is, quite an impressive growth in earnings. However, the low profit retention means that the company's earnings growth could have been higher, had it been reinvesting a higher portion of its profits. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.