Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies ABM Industries Incorporated (NYSE:ABM) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ABM Industries
What Is ABM Industries's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that ABM Industries had US$1.27b of debt in April 2024, down from US$1.39b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$60.7m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.21b.
How Strong Is ABM Industries' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ABM Industries had liabilities of US$1.18b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.91b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$60.7m in cash and US$1.47b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.56b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
ABM Industries has a market capitalization of US$3.07b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
ABM Industries's debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.1 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. The good news is that ABM Industries improved its EBIT by 5.0% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ABM Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, ABM Industries recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
While ABM Industries's net debt to EBITDA makes us cautious about it, its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT is no better. At least its EBIT growth rate gives us reason to be optimistic. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that ABM Industries is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with ABM Industries (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:ABM
ABM Industries
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of integrated facility, infrastructure, and mobility solutions in the United States and internationally.
Established dividend payer and fair value.