Stock Analysis

A Look at MillerKnoll’s (MLKN) Valuation Following Standout Revenue Growth and Unexpected Share Price Weakness

MillerKnoll (MLKN) just posted quarterly revenue growth of 11% year over year, topping estimates and leading the pack among office furniture companies. However, the stock remains under pressure even after the report.

See our latest analysis for MillerKnoll.

Despite MillerKnoll's recent headline-making expansion in Saudi Arabia and its standout revenue growth, the momentum in its share price has faded, with a 1-year total shareholder return of -38.6%. Short-term price pressure, including a 90-day share price return of -28.3%, suggests investors remain cautious, even as operational results outpace sector peers.

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With shares still trading well below analyst price targets despite robust revenue performance, the key question emerges: are investors overlooking MillerKnoll’s value, or is the market already factoring in the company’s future prospects?

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Most Popular Narrative: 59% Undervalued

The narrative consensus values MillerKnoll at a fair value far above the recent closing price, hinting at significant upside driven by major business shifts and bold future projections.

The restructuring of MillerKnoll's reporting segments to better align with strategic goals could improve operational clarity and facilitate growth. This may potentially boost revenue and net earnings by optimizing resource allocation and improving market focus. Expansion in the Global Retail segment, including the opening of new stores and the growth of product assortment, could significantly increase future revenue and earnings as it raises brand visibility and captures a larger share of consumer spending.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how ambitious internal changes turn into price potential? This narrative builds its case on profit improvements, retail expansion, and reimagined margins. Think you know the financial levers behind this high valuation? The assumptions powering this target could surprise you. Dive in to see what makes the case for such a steep discount to market price.

Result: Fair Value of $35 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty and the risk of further asset impairments could challenge MillerKnoll’s recovery and reduce confidence in its long-term outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this MillerKnoll narrative.

Build Your Own MillerKnoll Narrative

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A great starting point for your MillerKnoll research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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