Stock Analysis

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Masco Corporation's (NYSE:MAS) Second-Quarter Report

Published
NYSE:MAS

It's been a good week for Masco Corporation (NYSE:MAS) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest second-quarter results, and the shares gained 6.5% to US$77.45. Masco reported in line with analyst predictions, delivering revenues of US$2.1b and statutory earnings per share of US$1.17, suggesting the business is executing well and in line with its plan. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Masco

NYSE:MAS Earnings and Revenue Growth July 28th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, Masco's 21 analysts currently expect revenues in 2024 to be US$7.93b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$4.12, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$7.96b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.15 in 2024. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$82.25, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Masco at US$90.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$68.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Masco is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Masco's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Masco's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 1.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 5.5% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 5.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Masco is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Masco going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Masco you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.