Stock Analysis

Does W.W. Grainger (NYSE:GWW) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:GWW
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:GWW) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for W.W. Grainger

What Is W.W. Grainger's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that W.W. Grainger had US$2.35b in debt in December 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$325.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$2.03b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:GWW Debt to Equity History April 24th 2023

A Look At W.W. Grainger's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that W.W. Grainger had liabilities of US$2.01b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.84b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$325.0m as well as receivables valued at US$2.13b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.40b.

Of course, W.W. Grainger has a titanic market capitalization of US$33.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

W.W. Grainger has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.83. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also positive, W.W. Grainger grew its EBIT by 29% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if W.W. Grainger can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, W.W. Grainger produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, W.W. Grainger's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its EBIT growth rate is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think W.W. Grainger's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with W.W. Grainger .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if W.W. Grainger might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.