Stock Analysis

Dover (DOV): Assessing Valuation After Q3 Beat and Strong Performance in Clean Energy & Recent Acquisitions

Dover (DOV) delivered an upbeat performance in Q3 2025, surpassing market expectations. Strength in Clean Energy & Fueling and Pumps & Solutions, along with successful integration of recent acquisitions, is catching investors’ attention this quarter.

See our latest analysis for Dover.

Dover’s momentum has picked up lately, with a strong 11.7% share price return over the past month as investors react to upbeat quarterly results, a fresh dividend affirmation, and upcoming CEO remarks at the Global Industrial Conference. Even so, the one-year total shareholder return is still negative. This reminds us that recent optimism is building on a much longer record of volatility and outperformance. Dover has delivered a 57.5% total return over the past five years.

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With Dover’s shares rallying and strong fundamentals in place, investors may wonder whether there is still value left on the table or if the market has already accounted for all the company’s future growth potential.

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Most Popular Narrative: 15.9% Undervalued

Compared to Dover’s last close price, the most widely followed narrative suggests the shares are trading well below a calculated fair value, hinting at meaningful upside if expectations hold. The narrative’s valuation brings attention to the company’s focus on cost control and margin improvements as pivotal drivers.

Execution of operational excellence initiatives, including large-scale restructuring, rooftop consolidations, and productivity projects, is yielding annual run-rate cost savings (e.g. $30M+ each year). This is directly driving margin expansion and enhancing net earnings predictability into 2026 and beyond.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know which bold assumptions fuel this undervalued price tag? Discover the secret mix of growth, profitability projections, and market expectations that set the stage for this fair value. See what truly separates Dover’s narrative from the market consensus.

Result: Fair Value of $214.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent weak organic sales and intensified competition could limit Dover’s margin gains. This may potentially challenge the bullish undervaluation thesis going forward.

Find out about the key risks to this Dover narrative.

Build Your Own Dover Narrative

If you think the narrative could be improved or want to dig into Dover’s numbers yourself, it only takes a few minutes to create your own detailed perspective. Do it your way

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Dover.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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