Stock Analysis

Does Armstrong World Industries (NYSE:AWI) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NYSE:AWI
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (NYSE:AWI) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Armstrong World Industries

What Is Armstrong World Industries's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Armstrong World Industries had US$621.7m of debt at September 2023, down from US$683.3m a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$99.8m, its net debt is less, at about US$521.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AWI Debt to Equity History December 14th 2023

How Healthy Is Armstrong World Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Armstrong World Industries had liabilities of US$185.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$942.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$99.8m in cash and US$118.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$909.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Armstrong World Industries has a market capitalization of US$4.18b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Armstrong World Industries's net debt of 1.5 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 7.2 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Also good is that Armstrong World Industries grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Armstrong World Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Armstrong World Industries produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Armstrong World Industries's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is good too. All these things considered, it appears that Armstrong World Industries can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Armstrong World Industries .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.