Stock Analysis

Amprius Technologies (AMPX) Is Up 5.4% After Major Drone Order and CFO Appointment - What’s Changed

  • In September, Amprius Technologies secured a US$35-million purchase order from a recurring drone customer and entered new supply agreements with Empirical Systems Aerospace and Nordic Wing for its SiCore battery cells, while also appointing Ricardo Rodriguez as chief financial officer.
  • This series of developments highlights Amprius' advancing commercial traction and organizational focus as it builds on achieving positive gross margins in a highly competitive battery market.
  • We'll explore how these major new contracts and leadership changes could impact Amprius Technologies' investment narrative and future growth outlook.

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Amprius Technologies Investment Narrative Recap

For anyone interested in Amprius Technologies, the central investment thesis is the company’s high-growth potential in advanced, lightweight battery solutions for the UAV and electric aviation markets, sectors that demand energy density and reliability. This month’s US$35-million drone order and new supply agreements add visible near-term revenue but don’t eliminate significant risks: the business remains highly dependent on a concentrated customer base, where any slowdown or lost contract could sharply impact results.

The September supply agreement with Empirical Systems Aerospace directly reflects rising customer adoption and real-world performance gains for Amprius’ SiCore cells, which support the main growth catalyst: surging commercial drone demand driven by defense and environmental mandates. However, much of the revenue growth is still concentrated in a narrow segment, so diversification remains an open issue for future stability.

By contrast, investors should also be aware that Amprius’ reliance on the aviation and drone sectors means the company remains exposed if customer...

Read the full narrative on Amprius Technologies (it's free!)

Amprius Technologies' outlook anticipates $306.6 million in revenue and $13.4 million in earnings by 2028. This implies an 89.8% annual revenue growth rate and a $52.1 million increase in earnings from current earnings of -$38.7 million.

Uncover how Amprius Technologies' forecasts yield a $14.67 fair value, a 19% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

AMPX Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
AMPX Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Fair value estimates from nine Simply Wall St Community members span US$4.67 to US$28.91, showing wide disagreement on Amprius’ future potential. With much of its revenue still concentrated in the aviation sector, it’s important to weigh both optimistic demand projections and exposure to sector-specific setbacks as you review these perspectives.

Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Amprius Technologies - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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