Stock Analysis

AECOM's (NYSE:ACM) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

NYSE:ACM
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The board of AECOM (NYSE:ACM) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.22 on the 19th of January, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This takes the dividend yield to 1.0%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

View our latest analysis for AECOM

AECOM's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before this announcement, AECOM was paying out 87% of earnings, but a comparatively small 20% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

According to analysts, EPS should be several times higher next year. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 12% which is fairly sustainable.

historic-dividend
NYSE:ACM Historic Dividend December 7th 2023

AECOM Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the past, but the company has only been paying a dividend for 2 years, which isn't that long in the grand scheme of things. Since 2021, the dividend has gone from $0.60 total annually to $0.88. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 21% a year over that time. It is always nice to see strong dividend growth, but with such a short payment history we wouldn't be inclined to rely on it until a longer track record can be developed.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. It's not great to see that AECOM's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 7.3% per year over the past five years. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.

Our Thoughts On AECOM's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think AECOM will make a great income stock. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 3 warning signs for AECOM that you should be aware of before investing. Is AECOM not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.