Stock Analysis

Is TAT Technologies (NASDAQ:TATT) A Risky Investment?

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NasdaqGM:TATT

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, TAT Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:TATT) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for TAT Technologies

What Is TAT Technologies's Debt?

As you can see below, TAT Technologies had US$26.8m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$7.29m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$19.5m.

NasdaqGM:TATT Debt to Equity History December 25th 2023

How Strong Is TAT Technologies' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TAT Technologies had liabilities of US$34.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$15.7m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$7.29m in cash and US$17.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$25.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since TAT Technologies has a market capitalization of US$94.0m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

TAT Technologies has net debt worth 2.1 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 3.4 times the interest expense. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Notably, TAT Technologies made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of US$5.3m in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since TAT Technologies will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, TAT Technologies burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mulling over TAT Technologies's attempt at converting EBIT to free cash flow, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that TAT Technologies's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for TAT Technologies that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.