Nextracker Inc.

NasdaqGS:NXT Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

Nextracker Valuation

Is NXT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NXT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NXT ($35.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($77.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NXT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NXT?

Key metric: As NXT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NXT. This is calculated by dividing NXT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NXT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
EarningsUS$483.65m
Market CapUS$5.12b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NXT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NXT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average42.1x
POWL Powell Industries
19.7x7.3%US$3.0b
ENS EnerSys
12.7x13.4%US$3.7b
RRX Regal Rexnord
49x34.4%US$10.3b
FLNC Fluence Energy
86.8x36.9%US$2.8b
NXT Nextracker
10.4x-0.9%US$5.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NXT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (42.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NXT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electrical Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
KRFG OneSolution Technology
1xn/aUS$1.33m
No more companies available in this PE range
NXT 10.4xIndustry Avg. 22.5xNo. of Companies5PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NXT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the US Electrical industry average (22.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NXT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NXT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NXT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NXT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$35.15
US$53.37
+51.8%
17.8%US$70.00US$34.00n/a30
Dec ’25US$38.16
US$54.11
+41.8%
17.6%US$70.00US$34.00n/a29
Nov ’25US$39.61
US$55.47
+40.0%
17.8%US$70.00US$34.00n/a28
Oct ’25US$38.03
US$58.97
+55.1%
16.0%US$71.00US$34.00n/a29
Sep ’25US$40.67
US$59.11
+45.3%
15.7%US$71.00US$34.00n/a29
Aug ’25US$46.83
US$61.18
+30.6%
13.1%US$72.00US$37.00n/a28
Jul ’25US$46.12
US$61.29
+32.9%
13.2%US$72.00US$37.00n/a28
Jun ’25US$55.17
US$61.33
+11.2%
13.4%US$72.00US$37.00n/a27
May ’25US$42.87
US$62.41
+45.6%
12.9%US$71.00US$37.00n/a28
Apr ’25US$56.20
US$64.00
+13.9%
11.7%US$73.00US$37.00n/a27
Mar ’25US$57.40
US$63.26
+10.2%
12.4%US$73.00US$37.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$56.50
US$62.59
+10.8%
13.2%US$73.00US$37.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$46.85
US$52.15
+11.3%
9.6%US$61.00US$45.00n/a20
Dec ’24US$42.61
US$51.74
+21.4%
8.5%US$60.00US$45.00US$38.1619
Nov ’24US$33.70
US$51.74
+53.5%
8.5%US$60.00US$45.00US$39.6119
Oct ’24US$40.16
US$48.94
+21.9%
10.8%US$60.00US$35.00US$38.0317
Sep ’24US$43.13
US$49.20
+14.1%
11.1%US$60.00US$35.00US$40.6715
Aug ’24US$43.34
US$49.07
+13.2%
11.4%US$60.00US$35.00US$46.8315
Jul ’24US$39.81
US$42.15
+5.9%
9.3%US$50.00US$35.00US$46.1213
Jun ’24US$40.07
US$41.38
+3.3%
7.8%US$45.00US$35.00US$55.1713
May ’24US$30.87
US$38.86
+25.9%
8.9%US$45.00US$32.00US$42.8714
Apr ’24US$36.26
US$39.42
+8.7%
7.9%US$45.00US$33.00US$56.2012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/27
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Nextracker Inc. is covered by 40 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KalloBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Christine ChoBarclays