Stock Analysis

Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLUX) Shares Fly 48% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

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NasdaqCM:FLUX

Those holding Flux Power Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:FLUX) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 48% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Flux Power Holdings may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Flux Power Holdings

NasdaqCM:FLUX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 12th 2024

How Has Flux Power Holdings Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Flux Power Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Flux Power Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Flux Power Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.2% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 164% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 26% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 45% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Flux Power Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Flux Power Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Flux Power Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Flux Power Holdings (including 1 which is significant).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Flux Power Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.