Stock Analysis

    How Does Premier Financial Bancorp's (NASDAQ:PFBI) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

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    To the annoyance of some shareholders, Premier Financial Bancorp (NASDAQ:PFBI) shares are down a considerable 32% in the last month. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 29% in the last year.

    All else being equal, a share price drop should make a stock more attractive to potential investors. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

    Check out our latest analysis for Premier Financial Bancorp

    How Does Premier Financial Bancorp's P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

    We can tell from its P/E ratio of 6.71 that sentiment around Premier Financial Bancorp isn't particularly high. We can see in the image below that the average P/E (9.7) for companies in the banks industry is higher than Premier Financial Bancorp's P/E.

    NasdaqGM:PFBI Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020
    NasdaqGM:PFBI Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 13th 2020

    This suggests that market participants think Premier Financial Bancorp will underperform other companies in its industry. While current expectations are low, the stock could be undervalued if the situation is better than the market assumes. You should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.

    How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

    Earnings growth rates have a big influence on P/E ratios. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. And as that P/E ratio drops, the company will look cheap, unless its share price increases.

    It's great to see that Premier Financial Bancorp grew EPS by 12% in the last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 7.9%. So one might expect an above average P/E ratio.

    Don't Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

    The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won't reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.

    Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.

    So What Does Premier Financial Bancorp's Balance Sheet Tell Us?

    Premier Financial Bancorp has net cash of US$70m. This is fairly high at 43% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.

    The Bottom Line On Premier Financial Bancorp's P/E Ratio

    Premier Financial Bancorp's P/E is 6.7 which is below average (13.3) in the US market. It grew its EPS nicely over the last year, and the healthy balance sheet implies there is more potential for growth. The below average P/E ratio suggests that market participants don't believe the strong growth will continue. Given Premier Financial Bancorp's P/E ratio has declined from 9.9 to 6.7 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is more worried about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for deep value investors this stock might justify some research.

    Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. Although we don't have analyst forecasts you might want to assess this data-rich visualization of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

    Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Premier Financial Bancorp. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.