Stock Analysis

While shareholders of Modine Manufacturing (NYSE:MOD) are in the black over 3 years, those who bought a week ago aren't so fortunate

Published
NYSE:MOD

It's been a soft week for Modine Manufacturing Company (NYSE:MOD) shares, which are down 14%. But over three years the performance has been really wonderful. In fact, the share price has taken off in that time, up 820%. So the recent fall doesn't do much to dampen our respect for the business. The share price action could signify that the business itself is dramatically improved, in that time. We love happy stories like this one. The company should be really proud of that performance!

Although Modine Manufacturing has shed US$924m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

View our latest analysis for Modine Manufacturing

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During three years of share price growth, Modine Manufacturing moved from a loss to profitability. Given the importance of this milestone, it's not overly surprising that the share price has increased strongly.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:MOD Earnings Per Share Growth September 6th 2024

We know that Modine Manufacturing has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Modine Manufacturing stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Modine Manufacturing shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 121% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 54% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Modine Manufacturing that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.