Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Buying China Airlines, Ltd.'s (TWSE:2610) Earnings

Published
TWSE:2610

China Airlines, Ltd.'s (TWSE:2610) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Taiwan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 22x and even P/E's above 40x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China Airlines has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for China Airlines

TWSE:2610 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think China Airlines' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

China Airlines' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 118% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 8,459% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 25%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Airlines' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On China Airlines' P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that China Airlines maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for China Airlines (1 is concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.