Stock Analysis

Sincere Navigation (TPE:2605) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

TWSE:2605
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Sincere Navigation Corporation (TPE:2605) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sincere Navigation

How Much Debt Does Sincere Navigation Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sincere Navigation had debt of NT$4.58b at the end of September 2020, a reduction from NT$6.48b over a year. However, it also had NT$4.40b in cash, and so its net debt is NT$176.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSEC:2605 Debt to Equity History March 14th 2021

How Healthy Is Sincere Navigation's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Sincere Navigation had liabilities of NT$2.05b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$3.70b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had NT$4.40b in cash and NT$525.7m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$827.1m.

Since publicly traded Sincere Navigation shares are worth a total of NT$11.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Sincere Navigation's net debt to EBITDA ratio is very low, at 0.076, suggesting the debt is only trivial. Although with EBIT only covering interest expenses 6.1 times over, the company is truly paying for borrowing. Even more impressive was the fact that Sincere Navigation grew its EBIT by 638% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sincere Navigation can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Sincere Navigation actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Sincere Navigation's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Considering this range of factors, it seems to us that Sincere Navigation is quite prudent with its debt, and the risks seem well managed. So the balance sheet looks pretty healthy, to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with Sincere Navigation (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TWSE:2605

Sincere Navigation

A shipping transportation company, owns and operates bulk cargo vessels in Taiwan.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

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