Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Bin Chuan Enterprise (GTSM:1569) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TPEX:1569
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Bin Chuan Enterprise Co., Ltd. (GTSM:1569) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Bin Chuan Enterprise's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Bin Chuan Enterprise had debt of NT$2.65b, up from NT$2.45b in one year. However, it does have NT$721.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about NT$1.92b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
GTSM:1569 Debt to Equity History January 28th 2021

How Healthy Is Bin Chuan Enterprise's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Bin Chuan Enterprise had liabilities of NT$3.04b due within a year, and liabilities of NT$1.06b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had NT$721.9m in cash and NT$2.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$1.31b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Bin Chuan Enterprise has a market capitalization of NT$3.37b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.8, Bin Chuan Enterprise uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.3 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. Pleasingly, Bin Chuan Enterprise is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 200% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bin Chuan Enterprise will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Bin Chuan Enterprise burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Bin Chuan Enterprise is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Bin Chuan Enterprise's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Take risks, for example - Bin Chuan Enterprise has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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