Stock Analysis

Do These 3 Checks Before Buying Machvision Inc. (TWSE:3563) For Its Upcoming Dividend

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TWSE:3563

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Machvision Inc. (TWSE:3563) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Therefore, if you purchase Machvision's shares on or after the 20th of August, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 16th of September.

The company's upcoming dividend is NT$1.00 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of NT$7.00 per share to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Machvision has a trailing yield of 2.1% on the current share price of NT$328.00. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Machvision's dividend is reliable and sustainable. As a result, readers should always check whether Machvision has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

See our latest analysis for Machvision

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Machvision distributed an unsustainably high 186% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. It paid out 16% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Machvision fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see how much of its profit Machvision paid out over the last 12 months.

TWSE:3563 Historic Dividend August 15th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. Machvision's earnings have collapsed faster than Wile E Coyote's schemes to trap the Road Runner; down a tremendous 34% a year over the past five years.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Machvision has delivered an average of 11% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Machvision is already paying out 186% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Machvision? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 186% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Machvision's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Machvision. Be aware that Machvision is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those shouldn't be ignored...

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.