Stock Analysis

Sino Horizon Holdings Limited's (TWSE:2923) Stock's Been Going Strong: Could Weak Financials Mean The Market Will Correct Its Share Price?

TWSE:2923
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Most readers would already be aware that Sino Horizon Holdings' (TWSE:2923) stock increased significantly by 24% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Sino Horizon Holdings' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Sino Horizon Holdings

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sino Horizon Holdings is:

1.6% = NT$837m ÷ NT$51b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every NT$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated NT$0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Sino Horizon Holdings' Earnings Growth And 1.6% ROE

As you can see, Sino Horizon Holdings' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 9.0%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Sino Horizon Holdings' five year net income decline of 20% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

That being said, we compared Sino Horizon Holdings' performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 5.3% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
TWSE:2923 Past Earnings Growth July 12th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sino Horizon Holdings is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Sino Horizon Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Sino Horizon Holdings' high three-year median payout ratio of 113% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend beyond their means is usually not viable over the long term. Our risks dashboard should have the 3 risks we have identified for Sino Horizon Holdings.

Moreover, Sino Horizon Holdings has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Sino Horizon Holdings. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. You can do your own research on Sino Horizon Holdings and see how it has performed in the past by looking at this FREE detailed graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.