Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Huang Hsiang Construction Corporation's (TWSE:2545) Massive 27% Price Jump

TWSE:2545
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Huang Hsiang Construction Corporation (TWSE:2545) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Huang Hsiang Construction's P/E ratio of 24.6x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in Taiwan is also close to 23x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Huang Hsiang Construction over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Huang Hsiang Construction

pe-multiple-vs-industry
TWSE:2545 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Huang Hsiang Construction, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Huang Hsiang Construction's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Huang Hsiang Construction would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 60%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 56% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Huang Hsiang Construction's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Huang Hsiang Construction's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Huang Hsiang Construction revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Huang Hsiang Construction (2 are concerning!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Huang Hsiang Construction. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Huang Hsiang Construction is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.