Stock Analysis

Is Goldsun Building Materials (TWSE:2504) A Risky Investment?

Published
TWSE:2504

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Goldsun Building Materials Co., Ltd. (TWSE:2504) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Goldsun Building Materials

How Much Debt Does Goldsun Building Materials Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2024 Goldsun Building Materials had debt of NT$8.78b, up from NT$7.57b in one year. On the flip side, it has NT$4.33b in cash leading to net debt of about NT$4.45b.

TWSE:2504 Debt to Equity History September 12th 2024

How Strong Is Goldsun Building Materials' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Goldsun Building Materials had liabilities of NT$11.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of NT$5.37b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of NT$4.33b as well as receivables valued at NT$8.25b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by NT$4.07b.

Given Goldsun Building Materials has a market capitalization of NT$64.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Goldsun Building Materials has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.91. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 361 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Goldsun Building Materials grew its EBIT at 15% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Goldsun Building Materials's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Goldsun Building Materials recorded free cash flow of 20% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Goldsun Building Materials's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Goldsun Building Materials can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Goldsun Building Materials (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.