Stock Analysis

Sembcorp Industries (SGX:U96) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SGX:U96
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Sembcorp Industries Ltd (SGX:U96) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Sembcorp Industries

What Is Sembcorp Industries's Debt?

As you can see below, Sembcorp Industries had S$7.07b of debt at December 2022, down from S$7.43b a year prior. On the flip side, it has S$1.34b in cash leading to net debt of about S$5.73b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:U96 Debt to Equity History March 31st 2023

How Strong Is Sembcorp Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sembcorp Industries had liabilities of S$4.82b due within 12 months and liabilities of S$6.98b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$1.34b in cash and S$1.59b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$8.87b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's S$7.79b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Sembcorp Industries has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.3 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.2 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. On a slightly more positive note, Sembcorp Industries grew its EBIT at 10% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sembcorp Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sembcorp Industries recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 95% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Neither Sembcorp Industries's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. It's also worth noting that Sembcorp Industries is in the Integrated Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Sembcorp Industries is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Sembcorp Industries is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SGX:U96

Sembcorp Industries

An investment holding company, engages in the production and supply of utilities services, and terminalling and storage of petroleum products and chemicals in Singapore, the United Kingdom, China, India, rest of Asia, the Middle East, and internationally.

Undervalued with acceptable track record.