Stock Analysis

We Think Anoto Group (STO:ANOT) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

Published
OM:ANOT

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Anoto Group AB (publ) (STO:ANOT) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Anoto Group

What Is Anoto Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Anoto Group had debt of kr24.0m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from kr76.6m over a year. On the flip side, it has kr683.0k in cash leading to net debt of about kr23.3m.

OM:ANOT Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

How Healthy Is Anoto Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Anoto Group had liabilities of kr58.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of kr15.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of kr683.0k and kr2.67m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr71.3m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of kr113.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Anoto Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Anoto Group will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

In the last year Anoto Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 33%, to kr43m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

While Anoto Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable kr158m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled kr35m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Anoto Group has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.