Stock Analysis
Market Cool On Solidx AB (publ)'s (NGM:SOLIDX) Revenues Pushing Shares 28% Lower
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Solidx AB (publ) (NGM:SOLIDX) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Solidx's P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the IT industry in Sweden is also close to 0.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Solidx
How Solidx Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Solidx recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Solidx, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Solidx's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Solidx's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 243% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 2.8% in the next 12 months, the company's positive momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a bright spot for the moment.
With this information, we find it odd that Solidx is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader industry.
What Does Solidx's P/S Mean For Investors?
Following Solidx's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Solidx revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. When we see a history of positive growth in a struggling industry, but only an average P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. One major risk is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Solidx (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
If you're unsure about the strength of Solidx's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:SOLIDX
Solidx
Operates as an IT consultancy company in Sweden.