Stock Analysis
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Seamless Distribution Systems AB (publ)'s (NGM:SDS) Low P/S
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x Seamless Distribution Systems AB (publ) (NGM:SDS) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in Sweden have P/S ratios greater than 2.2x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Seamless Distribution Systems
What Does Seamless Distribution Systems' Recent Performance Look Like?
Seamless Distribution Systems hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Seamless Distribution Systems will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Seamless Distribution Systems' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.7% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 1.2% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 18% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Seamless Distribution Systems' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As expected, our analysis of Seamless Distribution Systems' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Seamless Distribution Systems that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NGM:SDS
Seamless Distribution Systems
Provides software and services for digital sales and distribution to individuals through mobile operators worldwide.