Has Genesis IT (NGM:GENE) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Genesis IT (NGM:GENE) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Genesis IT:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.15 = kr21m ÷ (kr153m - kr13m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Genesis IT has an ROCE of 15%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Software industry average of 12% it's much better.
View our latest analysis for Genesis IT
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Genesis IT, check out these free graphs here.
So How Is Genesis IT's ROCE Trending?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Genesis IT doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 15% from 22% five years ago. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, Genesis IT has decreased its current liabilities to 8.2% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Bottom Line
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Genesis IT's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has gained an impressive 92% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
If you want to continue researching Genesis IT, you might be interested to know about the 2 warning signs that our analysis has discovered.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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About NGM:GENE
Genesis IT
Genesis IT AB (publ) provides IT services in the areas of business and operating systems, cloud services, and IT operations solutions in Sweden.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.