Stock Analysis

Institutional investors are AB Sagax (publ)'s (STO:SAGA A) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's kr13b market cap gain

OM:SAGA A
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, AB Sagax's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • 51% of the business is held by the top 8 shareholders
  • Insider ownership in AB Sagax is 29%

If you want to know who really controls AB Sagax (publ) (STO:SAGA A), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 40% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Last week’s 11% gain means that institutional investors were on the positive end of the spectrum even as the company has shown strong longer-term trends. One-year return to shareholders is currently 25% and last week’s gain was the icing on the cake.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of AB Sagax, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for AB Sagax

ownership-breakdown
OM:SAGA A Ownership Breakdown March 25th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About AB Sagax?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that AB Sagax does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see AB Sagax's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:SAGA A Earnings and Revenue Growth March 25th 2024

AB Sagax is not owned by hedge funds. With a 17% stake, CEO David Mindus is the largest shareholder. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 8.1% and 7.2%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

On further inspection, we found that more than half the company's shares are owned by the top 8 shareholders, suggesting that the interests of the larger shareholders are balanced out to an extent by the smaller ones.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of AB Sagax

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in AB Sagax (publ). Insiders own kr28b worth of shares in the kr98b company. That's quite meaningful. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

With a 22% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over AB Sagax. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Company Ownership

It seems that Private Companies own 8.5%, of the AB Sagax stock. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with AB Sagax (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.