Stock Analysis

Investors in John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen (STO:JOMA) from three years ago are still down 50%, even after 15% gain this past week

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OM:JOMA

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen AB (publ) (STO:JOMA) share price has gained 17% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been disappointing. In that time, the share price dropped 61%. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Perhaps the company has turned over a new leaf.

While the last three years has been tough for John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

Check out our latest analysis for John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

We know that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen has been profitable in the past. On the other hand, it reported a trailing twelve months loss, suggesting it isn't reliably profitable. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.

We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 23% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

OM:JOMA Earnings and Revenue Growth July 12th 2024

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. If you are thinking of buying or selling John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. We note that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen's TSR, at -50% is higher than its share price return of -61%. When you consider it hasn't been paying a dividend, this data suggests shareholders have benefitted from a spin-off, or had the opportunity to acquire attractively priced shares in a discounted capital raising.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. That certainly beats the loss of about 5% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

But note: John Mattson Fastighetsföretagen may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swedish exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.