Stock Analysis
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- OM:SIBEK
Sibek AB (publ) (STO:SIBEK) Looks Just Right With A 30% Price Jump
Sibek AB (publ) (STO:SIBEK) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Sibek is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.1x, considering almost half the companies in Sweden's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Sibek
What Does Sibek's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Sibek over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sibek will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Sibek's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 22% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 53% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.0%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we can see why Sibek is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Key Takeaway
Sibek's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Sibek revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sibek (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're unsure about the strength of Sibek's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:SIBEK
Sibek
Engages in the investigation, planning, project designing and safety reviewing, inspection, and commissioning management of railway signaling systems in Sweden.