Stock Analysis

Brokers Are Upgrading Their Views On Beijer Alma AB (publ) (STO:BEIA B) With These New Forecasts

OM:BEIA B
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Beijer Alma AB (publ) (STO:BEIA B) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's forecasts. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.

After the upgrade, the three analysts covering Beijer Alma are now predicting revenues of kr6.2b in 2022. If met, this would reflect a notable 16% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to jump 27% to kr11.94. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr5.5b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr10.54 in 2022. There has definitely been an improvement in perception recently, with the analysts substantially increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijer Alma

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OM:BEIA B Earnings and Revenue Growth February 18th 2022

Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of kr222, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Beijer Alma at kr258 per share, while the most bearish prices it at kr158. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Beijer Alma shareholders.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Beijer Alma's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 16% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2022 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 5.4% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 7.0% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Beijer Alma is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. Some investors might be disappointed to see that the price target is unchanged, but we feel that improving fundamentals are usually a positive - assuming these forecasts are met! So Beijer Alma could be a good candidate for more research.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Beijer Alma going out to 2023, and you can see them free on our platform here..

You can also see our analysis of Beijer Alma's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijer Alma might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.