There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Saudi Basic Industries (TADAWUL:2010) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Saudi Basic Industries is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.12 = ر.س32b ÷ (ر.س323b - ر.س44b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2022).
Therefore, Saudi Basic Industries has an ROCE of 12%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Chemicals industry average of 8.9% it's much better.
See our latest analysis for Saudi Basic Industries
In the above chart we have measured Saudi Basic Industries' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Saudi Basic Industries.
So How Is Saudi Basic Industries' ROCE Trending?
Over the past five years, Saudi Basic Industries' ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Saudi Basic Industries to be a multi-bagger going forward. That probably explains why Saudi Basic Industries has been paying out 66% of its earnings as dividends to shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
The Bottom Line On Saudi Basic Industries' ROCE
We can conclude that in regards to Saudi Basic Industries' returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Unsurprisingly, the stock has only gained 21% over the last five years, which potentially indicates that investors are accounting for this going forward. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching Saudi Basic Industries, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SASE:2010
Saudi Basic Industries
Engages in the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of chemicals, polymers, plastics, agri-nutrients, and metal products worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.