Saudi Basic Industries Corporation's (TADAWUL:2010) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market

Published
July 15, 2022
SASE:2010
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Saudi Basic Industries Corporation's (TADAWUL:2010) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Saudi Arabia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 26x and even P/E's above 41x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Saudi Basic Industries has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Saudi Basic Industries

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SASE:2010 Price Based on Past Earnings July 15th 2022
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Saudi Basic Industries.

Is There Any Growth For Saudi Basic Industries?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Saudi Basic Industries' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 314% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 27% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 4.5% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 14% each year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Saudi Basic Industries' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Saudi Basic Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Saudi Basic Industries is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Saudi Basic Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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