Stock Analysis

Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's (TADAWUL:1202) Has Been On A Rise But Financial Prospects Look Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

SASE:1202
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Most readers would already be aware that Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's (TADAWUL:1202) stock increased significantly by 20% over the past month. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimatley dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper is:

2.6% = ر.س19m ÷ ر.س747m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every SAR1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated SAR0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

As you can see, Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.6%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 20% seen by Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:1202 Past Earnings Growth March 8th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

While the company did payout a portion of its dividend in the past, it currently doesn't pay a dividend. This implies that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Middle East Company for Manufacturing and Producing Paper's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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