National Agricultural Development Valuation
Is 6010 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
1/6Valuation Score 1/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 6010 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 6010 (SAR32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR22.75)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 6010 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6010?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 6010's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س9.70b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 3.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 6010's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 18x | ||
6070 Al-Jouf Agricultural Development | 25.5x | n/a | ر.س2.0b |
6040 Tabuk Agricultural Development | 8.6x | n/a | ر.س697.3m |
2270 Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff | 25.4x | 8.4% | ر.س11.1b |
9555 Leen Alkhair Trading | 12.7x | n/a | ر.س257.2m |
6010 National Agricultural Development | 26.4x | 7.6% | ر.س9.7b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 6010 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the peer average (18x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 6010's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Food Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 6010 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the Asian Food industry average (18.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 6010's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 26.4x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 28.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 6010 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س32.00 | ر.س29.60 -7.5% | 16.2% | ر.س34.30 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | ر.س34.30 | ر.س29.60 -13.7% | 16.2% | ر.س34.30 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س29.40 | ر.س29.60 +0.7% | 16.2% | ر.س34.30 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س33.05 | ر.س29.60 -10.4% | 16.2% | ر.س34.30 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س31.45 | ر.س29.60 -5.9% | 16.2% | ر.س34.30 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س28.30 | ر.س27.25 -3.7% | 15.6% | ر.س31.50 | ر.س23.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س22.78 | ر.س39.75 +74.5% | 20.8% | ر.س48.00 | ر.س31.50 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س47.10 | ر.س50.50 +7.2% | 5.0% | ر.س53.00 | ر.س48.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س46.05 | ر.س50.50 +9.7% | 5.0% | ر.س53.00 | ر.س48.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س48.90 | ر.س50.50 +3.3% | 5.0% | ر.س53.00 | ر.س48.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س50.10 | ر.س50.50 +0.8% | 5.0% | ر.س53.00 | ر.س48.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س36.50 0% | 31.5% | ر.س48.00 | ر.س25.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س25.80 | ر.س26.25 +1.7% | 4.8% | ر.س27.50 | ر.س25.00 | ر.س47.10 | 2 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س25.75 | ر.س26.25 +1.9% | 4.8% | ر.س27.50 | ر.س25.00 | ر.س46.05 | 2 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س30.45 | ر.س26.25 -13.8% | 4.8% | ر.س27.50 | ر.س25.00 | ر.س48.90 | 2 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س31.50 | ر.س26.25 -16.7% | 4.8% | ر.س27.50 | ر.س25.00 | ر.س50.10 | 2 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س31.45 | ر.س26.25 -16.5% | 4.8% | ر.س27.50 | ر.س25.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jun ’23 | ر.س31.20 | ر.س30.75 -1.4% | 10.6% | ر.س34.00 | ر.س27.50 | ر.س34.05 | 2 |
| May ’23 | ر.س32.10 | ر.س30.75 -4.2% | 10.6% | ر.س34.00 | ر.س27.50 | ر.س30.00 | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.