Stock Analysis

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Gas Arabian Services Company's (TADAWUL:9528) Stock Up Recently?

SASE:9528
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Gas Arabian Services (TADAWUL:9528) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 10% over the last week. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Gas Arabian Services' ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Gas Arabian Services

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gas Arabian Services is:

27% = ر.س85m ÷ ر.س315m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each SAR1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made SAR0.27 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Gas Arabian Services' Earnings Growth And 27% ROE

At first glance, Gas Arabian Services seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 8.1% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Gas Arabian Services in the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

We then compared Gas Arabian Services' net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 11% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:9528 Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 9528? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report

Is Gas Arabian Services Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 47% (meaning the company retains53% of profits) in the last three-year period, Gas Arabian Services' earnings growth was more or les flat. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Gas Arabian Services only recently started paying a dividend so the management must have decided the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Gas Arabian Services has some positive attributes. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. To gain further insights into Gas Arabian Services' past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.