Stock Analysis

Returns On Capital At ALROSA (MCX:ALRS) Paint An Interesting Picture

MISX:ALRS
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating ALROSA (MCX:ALRS), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on ALROSA is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.14 = ₽59b ÷ (₽554b - ₽121b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

Thus, ALROSA has an ROCE of 14%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Metals and Mining industry average of 7.6% it's much better.

View our latest analysis for ALROSA

roce
MISX:ALRS Return on Capital Employed January 4th 2021

In the above chart we have measured ALROSA's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering ALROSA here for free.

So How Is ALROSA's ROCE Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at ALROSA, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 27% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.

Our Take On ALROSA's ROCE

In summary, we're somewhat concerned by ALROSA's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. The market must be rosy on the stock's future because even though the underlying trends aren't too encouraging, the stock has soared 150%. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing ALROSA, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While ALROSA may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:ALRS

ALROSA

Public Joint Stock Company ALROSA, together with subsidiaries, operates as a diamond mining company.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.