Stock Analysis
Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Antibiotice S.A. (BVB:ATB) Even After 25% Share Price Boost
Despite an already strong run, Antibiotice S.A. (BVB:ATB) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days were the cherry on top of the stock's 306% gain in the last year, which is nothing short of spectacular.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Antibiotice's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Romania, where the median P/E ratio is around 16x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Antibiotice has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Antibiotice
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Antibiotice, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Antibiotice's Growth Trending?
Antibiotice's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 48% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 265% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to decline by 10% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Antibiotice's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent positive growth rate in the face of a shrinking broader market.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Antibiotice's P/E is also back up to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Antibiotice currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year earnings growth is beating forecasts for a struggling market. When we see its superior earnings with some actual growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. One major risk is whether its earnings trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough market conditions. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Antibiotice that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Antibiotice. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BVB:ATB
Antibiotice
Produces and sells medicinal products in Romania.