Stock Analysis

Despite delivering investors losses of 7.1% over the past 1 year, Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C (DSM:QEWS) has been growing its earnings

DSM:QEWS
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It's understandable if you feel frustrated when a stock you own sees a lower share price. But sometimes a share price fall can have more to do with market conditions than the performance of the specific business. So while the Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C. (DSM:QEWS) share price is down 12% in the last year, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -7.1%. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 16%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 2.1% in that time.

On a more encouraging note the company has added ر.ق649m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the one-year loss for shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 1.8%. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the the market had expectations of much higher growth, last year. But other metrics might shed some light on why the share price is down.

Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
DSM:QEWS Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2023

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C, it has a TSR of -7.1% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

While it's never nice to take a loss, Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 7.1% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C that you should be aware of before investing here.

We will like Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Qatari exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.